Burnley vs. Chelsea
This weekend’s game will likely be a difficult one for Chelsea as they travel to Burnley, who have one of the best home records in the league. Burnley have taken 28 points from their 13 home matches, which is fewer than only Chelsea and Tottenham.
It is often said that promoted teams need to turn their home ground into a fortress in order to stay up and Burnley have certainly done that.
Although their home record has been near perfect, Burnley are only in 12th position due to their form away from home.
They are currently nine points above the relegation zone, but they won’t be getting too comfortable yet, especially as they have failed to remain in the Premier League for longer than one season since its inception. This is their best chance of doing so, but their away form remains a concern.
Chelsea have taken a huge lead of nine points at the top of the table after their convincing 3-1 victory over Arsenal. They also have the best goal difference in the league and that is normally a good indication of the best team.
Despite their favourites tag, Antonio Conte will realise that there is a long way to go until the end of the season and sides have been pulled back before. That said, Chelsea have been the most impressive side in the league this season and it is difficult to see them coughing up a nine-point lead.
Burnley have won their last seven home matches in all competitions, with Manchester City being the last team to beat them at Turf Moor and that came in November.
They will be confident this weekend as they know they are a more difficult proposition on their home patch. Despite their home form, they do continue losing away from home and that is preventing them from building serious momentum to take them into the top half.
Chelsea have reacted well after Tottenham ended their incredible winning run, with the Blues taking ten points from their last four matches. They will argue it should have been all 12, with Diego Costa missing a penalty against Liverpool, which prevented them from taking the three points on that occasion.
However, they remain formidable and they will be confident of stopping Burnley’s run of wins at Turf Moor.
- Burnley have never won a Premier League encounter against Chelsea, losing four of five previous attempts.
- Chelsea have won their last three top-flight trips to Turf Moor, last losing there in a top-flight encounter in August 1973 when they were beaten 1-0 by a Frank Casper goal.
- The Clarets have only kept one clean sheet in their last 11 games against the Blues in all competitions, doing so in a 3-0 win in the second tier in April 1983.
- Burnley have lost all four of their Premier League matches played on a Sunday this season, while Chelsea have won five and drawn one – the Blues haven’t lost a league game on a Sunday since August 2015 against Man City.
- Diego Costa’s first Premier League goal came against Burnley in August 2014 – since then, only Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero (both 60) have scored more Premier League goals than he has (47).
- The Blues have kept the cleanest sheets in the Premier League this season (13), four more than they managed in the entirety of the 2015-16 season.
Only Spurs (32) and Chelsea (33) have more home Premier League points than Burnley (28) this season, while the Blues have the best away record with 26 points.
• The record for the most home points collected by a newly promoted team in a 38-game Premier League season is 38, set by Ipswich Town and Charlton Athletic in 2000-01.
- Chelsea are 30 points better off after 24 Premier League games this season (59) than they were last season (29) and already have nine points more than they did at the end of last season (50).
- Cesc Fabregas has created a goalscoring chance for a teammate on average every 22 minutes in the Premier League this season (24 in 526 minutes of game time).
• The Clarets have won their last five home Premier League games – they haven’t won six consecutively in the top-flight since November 1961 (eight in a row).